The Supply Tab provides a comprehensive view of global production trends for each commodity, focusing on the top ten producing countries over the past decade. It includes production volumes, harvested area, beginning stock levels, and crop yields, allowing users to analyze long-term supply dynamics and anticipate shifts in availability or pricing. This tab is particularly valuable for procurement teams, traders, and analysts monitoring structural changes in supply.
The supply tab is only available for exchange-traded commodities.
Key Definitions
Beginning stocks: The amount of a crop in inventory at the start of a marketing year. This value is equal to the ending stocks from the previous marketing year.
Crop yield: Calculated as total harvested weight divided by harvested land area. Crop yield measures how efficiently land is used and serves as an indicator of agricultural productivity.
Global Page Features
Top Ten Producing Countries Chart
The Supply Tab displays ten years of production data for the top producers of each commodity. This graph is available at the global level. For each year for the past 10 years, you can view:
The top ten producing countries
Their share of global production
Actual production volume in metric tons
Tracking these values helps users see which countries are expanding or reducing output. Identifying these shifts can signal potential supply shortages, emerging surplus conditions, or changes in competitive position among major producers.
News and Updates on Production and Harvest
The Supply Tab includes news feeds related to crop production, harvest progress, weather impacts, and agricultural conditions. This information helps users stay aware of real-time developments that may influence supply.
Country Level Page Features
Production, Harvest, Yield & Beginning Stock Volume Graph
This graph is available for all countries. Shown on the screen as one graph, there are four different views available:
Production Volume (Default)
Harvest Volume
Yield Volume
Beginning Stock Volume
Each chart includes a trend line and the change from the previous year (total and percentage).
Production Volume Graph
Shows how much of the commodity each country has produced over the last ten years. This graph helps users:
Identify growth or decline in production
Detect structural changes in supply capacity
Evaluate long-term competitiveness of major producers
Area Harvested Graph
Displays the amount of land harvested for the commodity in each country over the past decade. This graph can help answer questions such as:
Are farmers shifting acreage to other crops?
Is increased demand driving larger planting areas?
Is the harvested area declining due to climate or economic pressures?
Changes in harvested area often signal early supply shifts before production volume responds.
Crop Yield Graph
Shows crop yield trends for each country over the last ten years. Yield trends provide insight into:
Growing conditions and weather impacts
Agricultural improvements or deterioration
Land-use efficiency
Potential supply constraints or gains
Rising yields may indicate technological improvements or favorable weather, while declining yields could signal stress, prompting users to explore alternative sources.
Beginning Stocks Graph
Displays beginning stock levels for each country over the past decade. Stocks heavily influence price stability and supply security. This is useful for understanding:
How much inventory a country carries into each marketing year
Whether stocks are building (suggesting surplus) or tightening (suggesting scarcity)
How stock trends align with production and consumption patterns
Distribution of Supply
This chart shows how each country allocates its supply among:
Domestic consumption
Exports
Stock levels
Viewing ten years of data helps users understand market balance. For example:
High domestic use may limit export availability
Low consumption paired with high exports may indicate reliance on foreign demand
Shifts in distribution can foreshadow price or availability changes
This context helps users assess whether supply is tightening or loosening at a global or national level.
Supply Projections for the Future
Only available for some commodities, this graph presents long-term projections (ten years forward) for:
Production
Harvested area
Crop yields
Demand
Values are shown as a percentage change from a 2010 baseline (represented as zero). This allows users to easily see the direction and scale of projected changes.
Example of how to interpret the graph: If yield in 2010 was 1000 units and the graph shows a 25 percent increase, the projected yield is 1000 * 1.25 = 1250.
These projections help users anticipate future supply opportunities or risks and adjust sourcing strategies accordingly, such as identifying countries likely to expand production capacity or those facing long-term declines.
