Skip to main content

Risk (Trajectory)

Who’s at risk across cycles? New concerns emerging, skill regressions, declining trajectories.

The Risk view on the Trajectory tab is the cross-cycle counterpart to the Reviews > Risk lens. Reviews > Risk shows you a single cycle’s signals; Trajectory > Risk shows you who’s getting worse — declining trajectory, increasing risk indicators, skills that used to be strong but aren’t any more.

What this page answers

Who’s deteriorating across cycles? What new concerns are emerging that didn’t exist before? Where are skills regressing? Who’s the immediate priority for intervention?

What’s on the page

Four headline KPIs

  • Risk Increasing — Count of employees whose risk trajectory is “increasing”

  • New Risk — Count whose risk trajectory just appeared this cycle

  • At Risk — Count meeting at-risk criteria (see below)

  • Skill Regressions — Count of employees with at least one regressing skill

Risk trajectory

A bar chart of the count of employees by risk direction:

  • Increasing — Risk getting worse

  • Stable — Steady level of risk (could be high or low)

  • Decreasing — Risk getting better

  • New — First-time appearance

  • None — No meaningful risk signals detected

Top emerging concerns

A bar chart of the most common new concerns across the cohort — concerns that just appeared in the latest cycle. Common patterns:

  • Collaboration issues — Friction with colleagues

  • Accountability gaps — Missing commitments, not following through

  • Engagement decline — Reduced motivation or involvement

  • Communication breakdown — Issues with team or manager

  • Career stagnation — Stuck, not progressing

The exact set varies — Compass identifies concerns from review text without a fixed taxonomy.

At-risk employees

A table of employees flagged as at-risk. Columns:

  • Name — Clickable

  • Department

  • Trajectory — Direction

  • Archetype — One of the eight archetypes

  • Risk Trend — Increasing / Stable / Decreasing / New

  • Concerns — Comma-separated list of new concerns Compass identified

Skill regressions

A table of employees whose specific skills have weakened cycle-over-cycle:

  • Name

  • Department

  • Skill — The skill that’s regressed (e.g., “leadership”, “technical depth”, “communication”)

  • Change — A textual description of the change (e.g., “Strong → moderate”)

  • Trajectory

Where the data comes from

The page is built from several signals in each employee’s trajectory synthesis:

  • Risk direction — whether risk is increasing, stable, decreasing, or new

  • New concerns — the concerns that have just appeared

  • Archetype — Particularly the “at risk” archetype

  • Trajectory — Particularly “declining”

Plus the skill-regression signals Compass records when a specific skill weakens between cycles — these feed the skill regressions table.

Who counts as “at risk”

An employee appears on the at-risk table if any of these is true:

  • Trajectory = Declining — Performance trending down

  • Risk trajectory = Increasing or New — Risk indicators getting worse

  • Archetype = At Risk — Compass classified them as at-risk overall

This is OR logic, not AND. Someone with a Stable risk trajectory but a Declining performance still appears. The table is sorted by risk trend — Increasing first, then New — with Compass’s confidence breaking ties.

How to read it

  • Read the four KPIs first. They give you the headline risk volume.

  • Risk Increasing + Skill Regressions together is the most concerning combination. A specific skill weakening and the overall risk picture worsening is a strong “act now” signal.

  • Top emerging concerns tells you the firm’s “what’s going wrong this cycle?” story. Aggregate concerns across the cohort point at systemic issues — if “engagement decline” is suddenly common, something happened at firm level.

  • The at-risk table is your follow-up list. Click into each name, read the underlying reviews, decide on intervention.

Tips

  • Skill regressions are quieter than performance declines but often more diagnostic. A skill regressing is often the first sign before overall performance falls.

  • New concerns deserve immediate read. Anything that just appeared is by definition a signal Compass hadn’t seen before — worth understanding why.

  • Decreasing risk is good news; celebrate it. People moving from elevated risk to “decreasing” are recovery stories — recognise the managers and circumstances that helped.

  • Compare to last cycle. A single cycle’s risk count doesn’t mean much; the change in risk count tells you whether the firm’s overall picture is improving or deteriorating.

Did this answer your question?