There are currently four charts available on the climate tab:
Climate Risk by Main Risk Factor (Country + Regional)
Climate Risk by Severity (Country + Regional)
Temperature Risk (Country + Regional)
Precipitation Risk (Country + Regional)
Full Growing Seasonal Calendar (Global)
Weighted Climate Risk (Global)
Global Page Charts
Full Growing Season Calendar:
The Climate Tab includes a comprehensive calendar that outlines the full growing season for each commodity, detailing the specific stages of growth and the current phase for each country. This helps users track the progression of the growing season and anticipate any climatic impacts at each stage.
Weighted Climate Risk
The Weighted Climate Risk graph, available at the commodity (global) level, displays Weighted Avg % of Risk Days (WA%R) globally and for each country. This graph allows you to see what the climate risk has been for different locations over a period of time, determine the risk level for each country, and compare the countries against each other. The color of the lines will depict the risk rating associated with each day - high, moderate, or low.
Country/Regional Level Charts
Climate Risk by Main Risk Factor:
This graph, available on the country and region level pages, identifies the weather conditions contributing to the climate risk score. For instance, users can determine whether a drought, heatwave, cold snap, or excessive rainfall is causing climate risk. This insight is crucial for traders and procurement managers looking to predict or understand market movements based on weather-related disruptions.
At the top of the chart, you are able to see the growing phase corresponding to each day as well, so you can quickly understand where the climate risk falls into the growing season.
Deselect any risk factors that you are not interested in viewing. All risk factors are displayed by default.
You are able to choose the timeframe in which you view this graph. The default view is to display six months into the past and six months into the future (forecasted data), but you are able to go 5 years into the past and 2 years into the future.
Climate Risk by Severity:
The Climate Risk by Severity Graph allows you to see what the climate risk has been, and it’s severity rating (low, moderate, high) for that particular location over a period of time. The WA%R is a daily value, allowing you to see the risk level for each individual day. The graph gives users the opportunity to spot risk trends for each commodity and location.
At the top of the chart, you are able to see the growing phase corresponding to each day as well, so you can quickly understand where the climate risk falls into the growing season.
You can also compare the current climate risk values to the historical average (the average of the past 10 years). This lets you know whether or not this value is within a “normal” range for this location.
You are able to choose the timeframe in which you view this graph. The default view is to display six months into the past and six months into the future (forecasted data), but you are able to go 5 years into the past and 2 years into the future.
Climate Risk Score / WA%R Definitions
Risk Score | Standard Commodities WA%R Range | Exchange-Traded Commodities WA%R Range | Definition |
Very High | 75% - 100% | 50% - 100% | Extremely likely that crop growth, quality, or harvest will be heavily negatively impacted due to climate factors if not mitigated. If risk persists (2+ weeks) or is extreme, it is extremely likely to impact overall crop production, and eventually, the price of the commodity. |
High | 50% - 74.9% | 42% - 49.9% | Extremely likely that crop growth, quality, or harvest will be negatively impacted due to climate factors if not mitigated. If risk persists (2+ weeks) or is extreme, it is likely to impact overall crop production, and eventually, the price of the commodity. |
Moderately High | 40% - 49.9% | 38% - 41.9% | Likely that crop growth, quality, or harvest will be negatively impacted due to climate factors if not mitigated. If risk persists (2+ weeks) or is extreme, it is likely to slightly impact overall crop production, with the possibility of affecting prices. |
Moderate | 30% - 39.9% | 30% - 37.9% | Possible that crop growth, quality, or harvest will be impacted due to climate factors if not mitigated. If risk persists (2+ weeks), it is likely to slightly impact overall crop production, with the possibility of affecting prices. |
Low | 10% - 29.9% | 10% - 29.9% | Climate conditions are generally favorable: growing conditions are within expected bounds for the commodity and the location. |
Very Low | 0% - 9.9% | 0% - 9.9% | Climate conditions are extremely favorable: growing conditions are within optimal and expected bounds for the commodity and the location. |
Temperature Risk:
The Temperature Risk graph, available on the country, region, and POI level pages, displays the average minimum and maximum temperature for your location for each day. Temperature risk is defined as being outside the optimal temperatures for the crop or outside of "normal" temperature ranges for that location, compared against historical temperature values (the average of the past 10 years). For some crops, anything below freezing is also automatically flagged as temperature risk. This chart helps traders and procurement managers quickly identify periods of abnormal heat or cold that could impact crop development and, in turn, market conditions.
At the top of the chart, you are able to see the growing phase corresponding to each day as well, so you can quickly understand where temperature risk falls into the growing season. Days that fall outside the growing season are shown with a grey background.
The chart flags two types of extreme weather days along the bottom: Frost Days (days where the minimum temperature drops below 0°C / 32°F) and Extreme Heat Days (days where the maximum temperature exceeds 32.2°C / 90°F). These are also indicated in the tooltip when you hover over a specific day.
Hover over any day to see the maximum and minimum temperatures alongside their historical averages, so you can compare current conditions to what is typical for that location and time of year.
You are able to choose the timeframe in which you view this graph. The default view is to display six months into the past and six months into the future (forecasted data), but you are able to go 5 years into the past and 2 years into the future.
Precipitation Risk:
The Precipitation Risk Index graph, available on the country, region, and POI level pages, shows whether a given day is wetter or drier than normal compared to the historical average (the average of the past 10 years). Rather than displaying cumulative rainfall, this chart uses a standardized index — similar to the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) — so you can immediately see whether conditions are trending toward drought or excessive rainfall at any point in time. This makes it easier for traders and procurement managers to spot emerging precipitation risks that could disrupt supply.
The Y-axis ranges from "Extreme Drought" (-2) to "Extremely Wet" (+2), with the historical average (0) shown as a baseline in the center. The line color reflects risk severity: green for low risk (values between -0.5 and +0.5), orange for moderate risk (values between -1.5 and -0.5 or +0.5 and +1.5), and red for high risk (values beyond -1.5 or +1.5).
At the top of the chart, you are able to see the growing phase corresponding to each day as well, so you can quickly understand where precipitation risk falls into the growing season. Days that fall outside the growing season are shown with a grey background.
The chart flags two types of notable precipitation days along the bottom: Heavy Rain Days (days with more than 1.27 cm / 0.5 in of rain) and Days with No Rain. These are also indicated in the tooltip when you hover over a specific day.
Hover over any day to see the exact Precipitation Risk Index value and its label, today's precipitation compared to the historical average, and cumulative precipitation for the selected timeframe compared to the historical cumulative average.
You are able to choose the timeframe in which you view this graph. The default view is to display six months into the past and six months into the future (forecasted data), but you are able to go 5 years into the past and 2 years into the future.